Monday, March 10, 2008

Runners on Base?

Still playing around with the offensive numbers from 2007. An interesting question popped up in my head and that was what sort of percentage of runners that get on actually score. So once again went to baseball reference and dug though the season and looked plate appearances, at bats, runs scored, hits and walks (hit by pitch and reached on error), and left on base numbers. What I found was utterly fascinating to me and that is how the averages for each month of the season were so close. Over 24 - 29 game span each month, the plate appearances, at bats, hits and walks, and left on base were remarkably the same.

AVERAGE

G

PA

AB

R

H+BB

HBP+RE

LOB

April

26

40

34

4

13

1

8

May

28

38

34

4

12

1

7

June

27

40

36

6

14

1

8

July

24

39

34

6

13

1

7

August

29

41

36

6

14

1

8

Sept

29

41

36

6

14

1

8


I then plotted the running percentage of a few of these factors versus projected wins just to see which number means most to a teams wins. Again the number that wowed me was that Left on Base per Plate Appearance (blue line above) which indicates that on average the Roxs pretty much consistently left 8 runners on throughout the season. Almost no change.

No comments: