July is in the Books

July is in the Books

49 - 61 after four months of baseball. The Roxs definately picked things up going 11 - 2 at home (6 - 8 on the road). Not for sure what is up with the Roxs and the road. They seem to be slipping into that old habit of playing terrible on the road again. On pace to only win about 26 games on the road! So let's look at the numbers:

Historical Winning Percentage vs Pythagorean Winning Percentage:

Wow look at that no July swoon! Playing 11 - 2 at home certainly helped. Maybe the All Star break helped too. Too bad we tanked in April and May. We might have made ground in a traditional bad month.

Runs Scored vs Runs Allowed Historical:

Wow as bad as we were in June we made up for it in July. Obviously one reason July has been so hard on the Roxs is they seem to have difficulty scoring in past years but not this year. Pitching continues to also be a bright spot which is kind of strange because if you listen to the pundits they seem to indicate the pitching has been the Roxs problem. If you look below to me it is and always has been the hitting that has let the Roxs down this year.

The lines are just arbitary set points I used to base my preseason prediction. Pitching is right where it needs to be but the offense...yikes! What does all this mean, well look at the graph below on predicted wins (versus last year) and I think it tells the whole story!