Rox Talk - Spring Training Win Percentage?

One week to go before it all becomes real! Aghhh this can be an incredibly long week. Things with the club start to take shape and get a bit more final. Looks like our deal for Holliday is going to be a one for one deal with Street the only one making the opening day roster. Smith and CarGo were sent to the minors today. Morales looks to be the 5th starter once again. Looking ahead I checked out the April schedule and realized it ain't going to be easy for our Roxs out of the gate.

Six games at Arizona, six games with Dodgers, three with San Diego, three with Philadelphia, and two with Cubs. I believe five of these teams had winning records last year (three made the playoffs). Also throw in the fact that we are miserable against the D-backs in April. They were like 20 - 9 out of the gate last year thanks to having a slew of games against us! Nothing like seeing Webb, Haren, and then the Philly's Hamels all in the first week of the season...Anyway if I factor in how we played these teams last year, then the Roxs would win about 6 games. My guess is that if the Rox come out of April with a 6 - 14 record, Mr Hurdle will be looking for work. Curiously I looked at our all time records against these 5 teams and historically we should win about 9 games. I would love a 9 - 11 record out of April. We are awful against Arizona (79 - 108, 0.422) and not much better against the Dodgers (109 - 140, 0.438) but do have a winning record against the Padres (127 - 122, 0.510). Why is it that we get Arizona and LA early on and not the Padres and Giants? I have been to 7 or 8 opening days and Arizona has been a common opponent? One more reason to hate the D-bags.

Quick little study on spring training and regular season wining percentage (too bad we don't play World Series games due to our March records). Looking at this year's record it doesn't bode well for the regular season. Factoring in that we always do worse then what we do in Spring Training that potentially means we will end up with about 57 wins this year! Maybe we will buck the trend this year...please!