Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Rox Talk - Week 14

The Week That Was
A 3-4 week against the Cubs (make up game), White Sox and Royals. The Rox currently stand at 41-43. Six and half games behind the Giants for the division lead in third place. Currently 22-22 at home and 19-21 on the road, the Rox have outscored its opponents 382-378 (expected wins is 42 versus historical wins at 39). On pace for 79 wins with 737 runs scored and 729 runs against. Playoff indicator (Runs scored/Runs Against ratio) is 1.01 (1.16 indicates high playoff potential).

Rox finish the 2011 interleague schedule 8-7 (DET 45-41, NYY 50-33, CLE 45-38, CHW 43-43 , KCR 34-51).  Giants went 10-5 (CLE 45-38, DET 45-41, MIN 36-46, OAK 38-48), Dodgers went 6-9 (CHW 43-43, DET 45-41, LAA 45-41, MIN 37-46), D-Backs went 10-8 (MIN 37-46, KCR 34-51, DET 45-41, CLE 45-38, OAK 38-48), and Padres went 6-9 (BOS 49-35, KCR 34-51, MIN 36-46, SEA 42-43).  As of today's records, Rox teams faced winning percentage of 0.513, Giants 0.487, Dodgers 0.504, D-Backs 0.470, and Padres 0.479.  What does it all mean?  Probably nothing but Rox still finish well against the interleague rivalries and still find themselves 6.5 games out in the division.  Rox are now 111-112 all time against the AL.

Rox finally realized the second base situation was hopeless and traded for 8 year veteran Mark Ellis.  I give credit to O'Dowd for still trying to make gold out of lead but I think relatively soon our Rox will be sellers.  Face it, a week before the All Star break our Rox stand 41-43 and 6.5 games out.  Can we realistically believe, like everyone else in baseball, the Rox are going to do their late season run?  Throw in the fact that we are in third behind a resurgent D-Backs team that doesn't appear to coming back to the pack and well face it fans this ain't the Rox year (oh yeah CarGo ran into a wall on Sunday).  Although to try and stay positive the graphic below would seem to indicate we're not dead yet or at least 5 teams were division winners after being behind in June!


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