Monday, June 11, 2012

Rox Talk - Week 10

The Week That Was
A 1-5 week against the Diamondbacks and Angels. The Rox currently stand at 24-35.  Fourteen games behind the Dodgers for the division lead in fourth place. Currently 15-18 at home and 9-17 on the road, the Rox have been outscored by its opponents 334-301 (expected wins is 27 versus historical wins at 27). On pace for 66 wins with 826 runs scored and 917 runs against. Playoff indicator (Runs Scored/Runs Against ratio) is 0.90 (1.16 indicates high playoff potential).

A tale of two weeks.  Two weeks ago Rox were coming off a 6-1 home stand, the offense was clicking, starting pitching was decent, and Rox were winning.  Life was good, Rox were getting back to some respectability and maybe their May struggles were behind them.  Unfortunately last week removed any doubt that this team is close to respectability.  Good teams will toy with the Rox the rest of the year.   Good pitching will outclass anything we throw onto the field.  This column is starting to sound like a broken record (does a new idiom exist for a broken record?  Only the older generation vaguely remembers analog music playing...).  I won't rehash the same old stuff week in and week out.  Bottom line is without any starting pitching this team is surely heading for a 100 loss season (their record over the last 162 games, dating back to last year, has been 69-93).

After 10 weeks of caring, my main feeling towards this season is sadness.  With crowds of 41,814, 37,801, and 37,422 this pass weekend, what impression did the average Colorado fan come away with from their experience?

a) Wow what a beautiful Colorado day at the ballpark, who played?
b) Wow did I get transported in a time machine back to the 90s and early naughts?
c) Fun day but was bummed there was no Tulo chant...
d) When did the Cardinals change their uniforms to read the "Angels"?
e) Was that major league pitching out there?

There couldn't have been that many Pujols fans?  He doesn't exactly ire the average fan like Bonds used to do.  This is the condrudrum that is being a Rox fan.  Fans come out in droves to support our team and yet we have nothing to root for.  In no other year have I felt such pain for a team.  How can you not like Helton, CarGo, Tulo, and Cuddyer?  I feel their frustration as they step to the plate only to behind already in the first inning much like this weekend when they were down 0, 2, and 4 runs.  Can you doubt them for not thinking , "gee guys on the mound can't you give us a fighting chance?"

To go out there night after night, play 3 hours games, and really have no hope.  Us fans can go about our lives this Summer but these guys have 103 more games.  I think every team tries to build on the future but what does Helton have to play for at this point?  This will probably be the worse team he ever plays for.  His hope of ever returning to the playoffs as a Rox is slim to none.  Will Tulo be the Dan Marino of the Rox?  Reaching the World Series in is rookie year and never being in the Fall Classic again?  Is CarGo this generations Larry Walker?  Baseball is a grind and while these guys make a lot of money to play a kid's game I am pretty sure that losing stinks regardless of the payday!  No one thought this team was World Series worthy but I don't think anyone thought we would be 14 out in early June.

ERA versus Winning
Graph says it all.  When starting pitching ERA is less than 5, our Rox win more games!  EXTRA, EXTRA (not exactly a newsflash but boy this year's data point is ugly).  Could we compete for the worst starting staff ERA in history of baseball?

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