Monday, July 23, 2012

Rox Talk - Week 16

The Week That Was 
A 2-4 week against the Pirates and Padres. The Rox currently stand at 36-58 (second half record at 3-6). Sixteen and half games behind the Giants for the division lead in last place. Currently 20-29 at home and 16-29 on the road, the Rox have been outscored by its opponents 531-453 (expected wins is 40 versus historical wins at 44). On pace for 62 wins with 781 runs scored and 915 runs against. Playoff indicator (Runs Scored/Runs Against ratio) is 0.85 (1.16 indicates high playoff potential).

As this season progresses, we fans and those that officially cover the team, cross our fingers hoping for some sign of better things to come.  Troy Renck, in his article today at the Post, tries to spin the four man rotation as some progress but as Troy admits for the most part nothing as changed.  Again we like to put a new spin on things, look for something fresh, but when all is said and done this pitching staff is not a quality major league staff.  Too many youngsters, too many injuries, and too many pitchers with profiles that just don't fill the niche that Coors Field demands.  With 68 games remaining I don't think there will be any significant changes.  A few more future pieces and parts will be flown in, given a tryout, and then 2013 talk will begin in earnest.  Hopefully Rox will cast off some salary and receive some future pieces.  Hopefully Tulo and de la Rosa can be healthy again.  Hopefully what we are seeing today will become the seeds that bloom to another playoff run in 2014/15?  Instead of year of the fan they should have just called in GenR2!

As I commented in a previous post this won't go down as one of the better Colorado summers.  It is too bad Rox couldn't make the summer a bit more enjoyable.  I have attended 15 games so far this year.  The team has gone 4-11.  As a fan I love Coors Field and spending any time at the ball yard for me is a relaxing experience.  But this year my joy is just not there.  To make the effort to get to LoDo, find parking, grab a bite to eat, deal with the heat, and then watch a product that frankly is just not fun to watch.  Maybe Terry Frei had a point in his article about us seamheads but I also wonder if management has forgotten some basic tenents of entertainment.  For me there is lack of any personality on this team.  There is no fun.  From the player's perspective maybe fun is lacking when you're on pace for a 100 losses but some teams just have a vibe.  Even when they might not be very good or not compete for a division title you still don't mind watching them play because they a passion that is contagious.  With Tulo out I get nothing from this team.  No scrapiness, no never say die attitude.  Again having knowledge that most nights your are going to have to come from behind and even then still only win 4 out of 10 times maybe they are just done.

Odds and Ends
One of the more disappointing stories on the field this year has certainly been the rise and fall of Jeremy Guthrie.  Brought in to anchor a young staff, provide valuable innings, and to keep the team in games for the 30 or so expected starts.  The Guthrie experiment lasted all of 15 started games and 4 relief appearances.  For a guy who was 47-65 entering the Coors Field Experience he certainly didn't leave with any love loss.  A 1-5 Coors field record with an ERA of 9.50.  He pitched in 9 games, throwing 41.2 innings gave up 67 hits, 46 runs, and 14 homeruns and faced 204 batters.  All in all I can't blame Guthrie.  He seemed like a good guy.  I followed his twitter feed and he generally seemed like a good clubhouse guy and a good community guy.  I think he fit the Rox motif of what is desirable in a player. Unfortunately that is about all that went well.  Falling off his bike pretty much started the collapse.  Rox will add his name to high priced pitchers who couldn't conquer the demons.

The Cardinals supposedly welcomed their 2,000th player to wear the uniform.  Thanks to baseball-reference I was looking at all that have worn the purple pinstripes and the best I can tell is that Brown or Rutledge or Ekstrom were the 460th Rox.  We have a while yet to go...So after 20 years of baseball what is an average Rox?

Starting Pitcher:  2.3 years of service time with a 10-12 record.  An ERA of 5.21.  184.1 innings pitched giving up 115 runs per year and 24 homeruns with 75 walks and 122 strikeouts.  Esmil Rogers is most similar to our average pitcher...
Relief Pitcher:  1.6 years of service time with a 2-2 record.  An ERA of 4.50.  47.0 innings pitched giving up 25 runs per year and 6 homeruns with 19 walks and 39 strikeouts.  Bobby Chouinard is most similar to our average relief pitcher...
Batter:  2.1 years of service time with 151 games played.  A batting average of .283 with 73 runs scored, 133 hits, 26 doubles, 4 triples,  and 16 homeruns with 69 RBIs.  10 stolen bases with 47 walks and 87 strikeouts.  Jeromy Burnitz is most similar to our average batter.

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